What this shows
One table for ten large coins, refreshed every day after the UTC close, and a page per coin with charts and history: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, BNB, Dogecoin, Cardano, Chainlink, Avalanche and Litecoin.
Most technical analysis is drawn by hand: someone picks the lines, the pattern and the target. Here every reading is a fixed rule applied the same way to every coin, every day, from OKX spot daily candles (USDT pairs, closed days only). Nothing is adjusted after the fact, and each coin page shows how the coin moved after every reading in the past.
The trend score
Each coin gets one vote, +1 or −1, from each of these checks:
- Price vs the 200-day moving average: the most common line between a bull and a bear trend.
- 50-day vs 200-day average: a golden cross when the 50-day is above, a death cross when below.
- Price vs the 50-day average: the shorter-term trend.
- MACD vs its signal line (12, 26, 9): whether momentum is turning up or down.
- 30-day return vs Bitcoin (altcoins only): whether the coin is leading or lagging the market.
The score is the average vote × 100, from −100 to +100: strong downtrend below −60, downtrend from −60, mixed from −20 to +20, uptrend from +20 and strong uptrend from +60. It describes the trend that is already there. It is not a forecast.
RSI, volatility and levels
- RSI (14), Wilder's version: above 70 is called overbought, below 30 oversold.
- ATR (14) as a share of the price: how far the coin typically moves in a day.
- Support and resistance: the nearest swing low below and swing high above the last close over the past 180 days. A swing point is the lowest low (or highest high) within five days on either side, so the last five days can't form one yet.
- Volume: average daily volume over 7 days against 90 days, on OKX only.
What the record shows
Each coin page splits every day since its history allows (2018 for Bitcoin and Ether, 2020 to 2023 for the others) by trend label and by RSI zone, and shows the coin's median return and how often it was higher 30 and 90 days later, next to any day.
When we launched this page in November 2026, two things stood out:
- The trend label says little about what comes next, and not the same thing for every coin. For Bitcoin, "strong uptrend" days were followed by better than average 30-day returns. For XRP, Avalanche and Litecoin they were followed by worse than average ones. Most groups sit close to the any-day baseline.
- "Overbought" was not a sell signal for the largest coins. For Bitcoin, Ether and Solana, days with RSI above 70 were followed by higher than usual 30-day returns: strong moves tended to continue. With ten or fewer independent 30-day periods per group, this is weak evidence either way.
That is why the score is labelled as a description. The daily Bitcoin market outlook is where we combine indicators into a view and keep a public record of how it does.
Limits
- One exchange. OKX prices track the wider market closely, but volume is OKX only, and USDT can drift slightly from the dollar.
- Short histories. OKX candles start in 2018 for Bitcoin and Ether, in 2020 to 2021 for most others and in late 2022 for BNB. Groups with few independent periods are noisy.
- Overlapping windows. Consecutive days share most of their next 30 days, so day counts overstate the evidence. The tables show the independent periods (≈).
- Daily closes only. Nothing intraday: a level broken and recovered within a day doesn't count.
FAQ
Which coins are in an uptrend today? The table above lists every coin's trend label and score, updated daily after the UTC close. The headline counts the coins with a positive score.
What is a golden cross? The 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day. A death cross is the opposite. Each coin page lists its recent crosses and the price change 30 and 90 days after each one.
How are support and resistance calculated? From swing points: the lowest low or highest high within five days on either side, over the last 180 days. Support is the nearest swing low below the current price and resistance the nearest swing high above it.
Is this financial advice? No. These are mechanical readings of past prices with their track record next to them. Past patterns in crypto often fail to repeat.