November 23, 2025By Coineras Team

Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Stays Negative Since Oct. 29, Flagging Softer U.S. Bid

Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Stays Negative Since Oct. 29, Flagging Softer U.S. Bid

Lead

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has remained below zero since October 29, indicating U.S. spot market demand lagging offshore venues. Chart data shows the premium stayed negative into mid-November, even as BTC traded roughly between $85,000 and $120,000 during the period.

The index has not turned green since Oct. 29, underscoring persistent discounting on Coinbase relative to other major exchanges.

Key Developments

  • The Coinbase Premium Index has been consistently negative from Oct. 29 through at least Nov. 18.
  • The premium rate fluctuated in a narrow band, roughly between -0.1242% and 0.1242%.
  • A notable dip appeared in mid-November, with values remaining below zero.

What the Coinbase Premium Index Measures

The Coinbase Premium Index, tracked by analytics platforms such as CoinGlass, reflects the price difference of BTC/USD on Coinbase versus other major exchanges.

  • A positive (green) premium suggests stronger U.S. spot buying pressure, often associated with institutional activity.
  • A negative premium indicates Coinbase prices are trading at a discount, implying comparatively weaker U.S. demand.

Market Context

  • Charted data over a one-day interval shows BTC ranged approximately $85,000–$120,000 from mid-October to Nov. 18.
  • Despite broad price strength within that range, the persistent negative premium signals U.S. spot buyers have not been leading the market.
  • Such divergences are closely watched by traders as a sentiment gauge across U.S. vs. offshore liquidity.

Why It Matters

  • The Coinbase Premium Index is used by market participants to assess regional demand imbalances.
  • A sustained negative reading can indicate a cautious or lagging U.S. bid during rallies.
  • Premiums can change quickly with shifts in liquidity, market structure, or event-driven flows, so ongoing monitoring is key.

Looking Ahead

Market watchers will track whether the premium turns positive, which could signal renewed U.S. spot demand. Real-time readings are available on analytics platforms like CoinGlass.

Conclusion

The continued negative Coinbase Bitcoin Premium since Oct. 29 highlights a period of weaker U.S. spot appetite relative to offshore exchanges. Traders will look for a premium reversal as a potential confirmation of strengthening U.S.-led buying.

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